Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.002340 0.002480 0.002628 0.002798 0.002990 0.003201 0.003451
2025-02-09 0.002177 0.002376 0.002602 0.002878 0.003212 0.003612 0.004138
2025-02-16 0.002033 0.002265 0.002538 0.002889 0.003339 0.003917 0.004747
2025-02-23 0.001962 0.002226 0.002546 0.002977 0.003561 0.004366 0.005644
2025-03-02 0.001854 0.002128 0.002468 0.002939 0.003603 0.004569 0.006230
2025-03-09 0.001751 0.002027 0.002375 0.002868 0.003586 0.004675 0.006680
2025-03-16 0.001711 0.002002 0.002377 0.002925 0.003755 0.005092 0.007820
2025-03-23 0.001672 0.001974 0.002373 0.002968 0.003907 0.005510 0.009156
2025-03-30 0.001612 0.001915 0.002320 0.002936 0.003932 0.005708 0.010100
2025-04-06 0.001542 0.001839 0.002238 0.002852 0.003863 0.005713 0.010562
2025-04-13 0.001492 0.001787 0.002188 0.002813 0.003863 0.005855 0.011497
2025-04-20 0.001409 0.001688 0.002067 0.002656 0.003646 0.005522 0.010821
2025-04-27 0.001381 0.001665 0.002056 0.002676 0.003750 0.005897 0.012794
2025-05-04 0.001369 0.001663 0.002075 0.002746 0.003955 0.006555 0.016781
2025-05-11 0.001340 0.001637 0.002058 0.002755 0.004048 0.006989 0.020808
2025-05-18 0.001332 0.001640 0.002083 0.002835 0.004293 0.007907 0.031878
2025-05-25 0.001296 0.001600 0.002042 0.002800 0.004296 0.008159 0.039433
2025-06-01 0.001255 0.001553 0.001987 0.002736 0.004230 0.008182 0.044858
2025-06-08 0.001244 0.001548 0.001997 0.002788 0.004422 0.009115 0.091709
2025-06-15 0.001231 0.001540 0.002001 0.002827 0.004594 0.010101 0.425366
2025-06-22 0.001204 0.001510 0.001968 0.002798 0.004600 0.010459 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001168 0.001465 0.001912 0.002721 0.004485 0.010268 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001143 0.001436 0.001878 0.002685 0.004466 0.010501 NaN